Atlanta Falcons 2025 Season Predictions: A Week-by-Week Breakdown of All 17 Games
The Atlanta Falcons are set to face a season full of uncertainty in 2025. With second-year quarterback Michael Penix Jr. taking on his first full year as the starter, having only three starts under his belt, the team is navigating major changes, including a new defensive system led by Jeff Ulbrich and an overhaul of a pass rush that struggled last season, finishing 31st in sacks.
However, with the schedule officially released, we at least know when and where the Falcons will play. Here’s a look at each matchup along with predictions for how the season will unfold:
Week 1: vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1 p.m., Sept. 7)
Prediction: Falcons 27, Buccaneers 20
After sweeping the Buccaneers in 2024, Tampa Bay will come in hungry for revenge. But the Falcons will capitalize on their offseason optimism, securing a strong divisional win in the opener.
Week 2: at Minnesota Vikings (8:20 p.m., Sept. 14, Sunday Night Football)
Prediction: Vikings 23, Falcons 16
Minnesota handed Atlanta a heavy loss in 2024, and with rookie quarterback J.J. McCarthy starting his second career game, the Vikings’ defense will prove too much for Penix and the Falcons.
Week 3: at Carolina Panthers (1 p.m., Sept. 21)
Prediction: Panthers 24, Falcons 17
Carolina edged out Atlanta in a dramatic overtime win to end 2024, and with home-field advantage in this matchup, they’ll get the upper hand again.
Week 4: vs. Washington Commanders (1 p.m., Sept. 28)
Prediction: Falcons 31, Commanders 21
After two tough road losses, the Falcons return home to dominate Washington, avenging a heartbreaking overtime loss to the Commanders in Week 17 of last season.
Week 5: BYE WEEK
The Falcons head into their bye at a .500 record (2-2).
Week 6: vs. Buffalo Bills (7:15 p.m., Oct. 13, Monday Night Football)
Prediction: Bills 34, Falcons 24
Buffalo’s explosive offense, even after a tough Week 5 matchup, will be too much for the Falcons, who will struggle after their bye week.
Week 7: at San Francisco 49ers (8:20 p.m., Oct. 19, Sunday Night Football)
Prediction: 49ers 24, Falcons 20
Despite a rough 2024 season, San Francisco strengthened their defense and has a solid offensive core. The Falcons will fight hard, but the 49ers’ poise will clinch the win on home turf.
Week 8: vs. Miami Dolphins (1 p.m., Oct. 26)
Prediction: Falcons 27, Dolphins 17
After a rough stretch, Atlanta bounces back with a balanced win at home, taking control of the game from start to finish.
Week 9: at New England Patriots (1 p.m., Nov. 2)
Prediction: Falcons 21, Patriots 20
In a close, chilly game in Foxboro, Penix and the Falcons edge out a narrow victory thanks to a solid defensive performance.
Week 10: vs. Indianapolis Colts (9:30 a.m. EST, Nov. 9, Berlin, Germany)
Prediction: Falcons 20, Colts 10
With uncertainty surrounding Indianapolis’ quarterback situation, the Falcons come out on top in the NFL’s first game in Berlin.
Week 11: vs. Carolina Panthers (1 p.m., Nov. 16)
Prediction: Falcons 31, Panthers 24
Atlanta avenges its loss to Carolina from earlier in the season, even with a bit of jet lag after their overseas game.
Week 12: at New Orleans Saints (4:25 p.m., Nov. 23)
Prediction: Falcons 24, Saints 14
New Orleans, still rebuilding, won’t be enough to stop the Falcons, who are gunning for a playoff spot while the Saints look to the future.
Week 13: at New York Jets (1 p.m., Nov. 30)
Prediction: Jets 24, Falcons 20
Justin Fields, the Georgia native, delivers a clutch performance to derail the Falcons’ midseason momentum and snap their five-game winning streak.
Week 14: vs. Seattle Seahawks (1 p.m., Dec. 7)
Prediction: Seahawks 30, Falcons 24
Despite Penix’s familiarity with the Seahawks, Seattle’s stacked offense will prove too much, and Sam Darnold leads the charge in another victory over Atlanta.
Week 15: at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8:15 p.m., Dec. 11, Thursday Night Football)
Prediction: Buccaneers 28, Falcons 17
After a grueling stretch of games, Atlanta falters on the road, splitting the season series with Tampa Bay.
Week 16: at Arizona Cardinals (4:05 p.m. EST, Dec. 21)
Prediction: Cardinals 27, Falcons 20
With a strong offseason, Arizona will be tough to beat at home, especially as the season draws to a close.
Week 17: vs. Los Angeles Rams (8:15 p.m., Dec. 29, Monday Night Football)
Prediction: Falcons 30, Rams 27
Atlanta secures a crucial primetime win, keeping their playoff hopes alive with a tight victory over the Rams.
Week 18: vs. New Orleans Saints (Time and Date TBD)
Prediction: Falcons 35, Saints 17
Atlanta likely will be fighting for playoff positioning in this final game of the season, and they’ll finish strong with a decisive victory over New Orleans.
Final Record: 9-8
Will this be enough to end Atlanta’s seven-year playoff drought? Could the Falcons exceed expectations and secure a playoff spot? These are the big questions as the team heads into the 2025 season.
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