JUST IN: Rankings And Predictions For Big Ten Following Week 7

Oregon, Penn State, and Indiana keep winning as the Dawgs, Scarlett Knights, and Terrapins keep losing.

UW had a negative weekend. They not only suffered a loss, but their opponent Oregon also achieved a significant victory against the previously undefeated Ohio State. Northwestern pulled off the only surprising victory of the weekend by defeating Maryland convincingly on the road.

Surveys conducted to gather opinions or feedback from a group of people.

Although Ohio State lost to Oregon, they are still ranked in the top 5 in both polls. 3 Big Ten teams are still in the top 5. Indiana, Illinois, and Michigan are still ranked in the top 25 in both polls. Nebraska’s rise in the Coaches poll has brought the Big Ten’s total teams in the top-25 to seven.

Below are the Big Ten teams currently ranked in both the AP and Coaches polls.

Ohio State is ranked fourth in the AP and fifth in the Coaches, trailing by two and three spots, respectively.

Oregon is ranked 2nd in both polls.

Penn State is ranked number one in the AP poll and number two in the Coaches poll.

Indiana is ranked higher in both polls, moving up to 16th in the rankings.

Illinois is ranked one spot higher in the AP poll and two spots higher in the Coaches poll.

Michigan is ranked 24th in the Coaches poll, just one spot below their ranking in the AP poll.

Nebraska was not ranked in the top-25 in both polls before (27/25).

Nebraska, ranked at #27, Iowa, ranked at #31, and USC, ranked at #37, are receiving support in the AP poll. Iowa is receiving votes in the Coaches poll.

Ranking that combines multiple criteria or factors to determine an overall position.

As of the time of writing, the Massey Composite features a total of 73 varied rankings, which encompasses the AP and Coaches polls. The “Cool Chart” below displays the differences since the beginning of the season.

Clearly, UW, Rutgers, and Maryland all experienced significant decreases in their rankings following their defeats. Northwestern and Wisconsin saw significant rankings increases following their victories. Oregon and Ohio State exchanged positions at the top.

SP Plus is the same company as SP+.

Bill Connelly has refreshed his SP+ rankings for every college football team, spanning across FBS, FCS, DII, D3, and NAIA. This is the ranking of Big Ten teams compared to all teams. The rank from the previous week is available ().

Ohio State scored two goals.

Penn State scored a total of 6 points in the game.

Oregon: Seven (7)

Indiana has a population of 15 residents, but it can reach up to 17 at times.

Iowa has a total of 19 delegates, with 29 at large.

Michigan scored 21 points in the game and ending with a final score of 27.

Nebraska: twenty-two (twenty-six)

University of Southern California scored 27 points in the game, with 25 of those points coming from the 1st half.

Washington: twenty-eight (nineteen)

Wisconsin has a total of 32 points, with 39 points possible.

Minnesota scored 41 points in the game.

Illinois: Forty-seven (47)

Maryland has a score of 52 points, with 42 of those points coming from their own efforts.

Rutgers scored 58 points while their opponent scored 44 points.

Northwestern scored 72 points, with only 1 FCS team scoring more.

Michigan State scored 74 points, surpassing the total of two FCS teams.

UCLA was ranked 83rd, with 4 FCS teams ranked higher.

Purdue scored 86 points, with 4 FCS teams ranking higher.

Stanford is now ranked lower than Purdue among Power-4 teams. Last year, two out of the lowest three P4 teams were from the Pac-12 conference (Stanford and UCLA).

Iowa had the largest increase of 10 points, while Northwestern and Purdue both saw significant improvements of 8 points each. The largest decreases were seen at UW (-9), Maryland (-10), and Rutgers (-14).

Grade F rating

The F+ Ratings (including rankings) are a blend of the FEI Rating and the SP+ Rating. It consists of a general rating as well as individual ratings for offense, defense, and special teams.

F+ Rankings for Big Ten Teams

School Overall Offense Defense Special Teams
Ohio State 1 2 4 17
Oregon 3 1 16 16
Penn State 7 11 8 79
USC 16 9 45 31
Michigan 17 56 9 6
Iowa 19 77 2 8
Indiana 21 13 46 18
Wisconsin 27 54 21 34
Washington 28 20 30 125
Nebraska 29 74 6 126
Minnesota 37 65 22 114
Maryland 49 64 38 81
Illinois 55 60 53 10
Rutgers 61 82 33 77
Northwestern 70 104 25 5
Michigan State 74 105 36 22
UCLA 75 92 51 55
Purdue 91 73 108 90

Just like the Composite Rankings mentioned earlier, Maryland (-11), Rutgers (-16), and UW (-10) experienced the largest decreases in overall ranking. Iowa’s offense climbed 18 ranks following their showing against UW. Northwestern’s defense (+10) and Special Teams (+21) showed signs of improvement. UW’s offense, defense, and Special Teams all experienced decreases: the Special Teams drop occurred even though they were already among the worst in the nation. Illinois’ defense fell 19 spots due to surrendering 43 points in 4 quarters to Purdue.

Software requirements specification (SRS) document detailing the functional and non-functional requirements for a software product.

Another method to rank teams is the Simple Rating System (SRS). It relies on point differential (within certain constraints) and the quality of opponents faced. It can not only rank teams but also divide them by offense and defense as well as passing and rushing for each. In upcoming pieces in this series, I will provide more information on that. Currently, this is the ranking of UW in various SRS categories.

Scoring on offense: 87

Yards gained per play on offense: 27

Scoring by the defense: 13

Yards allowed per play on defense: 22

Offense through the air: 24

Defense against passes: 7

Rushing Attack: 54

Defense against the run: 70

One could debate some of those rankings, but they appear to align with the team’s performance this season.

The major disparity between scoring offense and offensive yards per play has been a focal point this season. Despite gaining yardage in the opponent’s territory, converting those yards into points has proven challenging, leading to a struggle in scoring. Despite some Husky fans advocating for more running plays, statistics show that the University of Washington is more successful when passing the ball compared to running it (#24 ranking for passing vs #54 ranking for running).

The defense at UW has been solid, with the exception of their ability to stop the running game. As stated earlier, it is highly probable that some of the success is a result of the teams UW has competed against. That will be evaluated during the upcoming 5 games. However, UW’s run defense has been too porous this season, according to Husky fans.

Comparison of rankings

Here is a comparison of the overall SRS rankings with those above. The FEI ranking has been substituted for the F+ ranking, as the F+ ranking incorporates SP+.

Big Ten Ranking Comparison

School Composite SP+ FEI FPI AP SRS
Illinois 33 47 59 57 22 44
Indiana 12 15 26 15 16 5
Iowa 23 19 19 23 31 18
Maryland 60 52 52 53 57
Michigan 26 21 15 33 24 33
Michigan State 71 74 79 69 68
Minnesota 51 41 35 50 46
Nebraska 30 22 33 43 27 29
Northwestern 67 72 66 72 58
Ohio State 3 2 1 2 4 2
Oregon 2 7 3 8 2 4
Penn State 6 6 7 9 3 11
Purdue 110 86 101 102 107
Rutgers 56 58 61 64 52
UCLA 89 83 72 74 88
USC 29 27 13 13 37 23
Washington 44 28 27 40 39
Wisconsin 36 32 24 28 40

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